Conference Papers
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Item MCMC and approximation error model for the simultaneous estimation of heat flux and heat transfer coefficient using heat transfer experiments(Begell House Inc., 2018) Gnanasekaran, N.; Kumar, M.K.; Balaji, C.This work deals with the simultaneous estimation of the heat flux and the heat transfer coefficient from a mild steel fin losing heat to the ambient by natural convection. Steady state heat transfer experiments are performed on a mild steel fin of dimension 150x250x6 (all dimensions are in mm) placed on to an aluminum base plate of dimension 150x250x8 (all dimensions are in mm). The experimental set up is placed inside a large enclosure to avoid natural disturbances. Nine calibrated K-type thermocouples are used to measure the temperatures of the fin and the base plate. The forward solution of a three dimensional conjugate heat transfer fin model is solved using commercially available ANSYS software in order to obtain the temperature distribution of the fin. An inverse problem is proposed for the estimation of unknown parameters within the Bayesian framework of statistics. Furthermore, a model reduction in the form of Approximation Error Model (AEM) is considered for the inverse conjugate natural convection heat transfer problem. Such an approach not only mitigates the complexity of the inverse problem but also compensates the model reduction with all necessary statistical parameters. Additionally, the sample space within the Bayesian framework is explored with the help of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method (MCMC) along with the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The results of the inverse estimation using Approximation Error Model based on the experimental temperature prove to be a promising alternative in inverse conjugate heat transfer problems. © 2018 International Heat Transfer Conference. All rights reserved.Item A Surrogate Forward Model Using Artificial Neural Networks in Conjunction with Bayesian Computations for 3D Conduction-Convection Heat Transfer Problem(Springer, 2020) Kumar, M.K.; Vishweshwara, P.S.; Gnanasekaran, N.The present work describes the determination of heat flux at the boundary for a conjugate heat transfer problem based on a coupled three-dimensional conduction-convection fin numerical model, also referred to as complete model. The model is developed using commercially available software and solved along with Navier–Stokes equation in order to acquire the required temperature distribution. An inverse analysis is proposed by treating the boundary heat flux as unknown while the temperatures of the fin are known. The inverse analysis is greatly accomplished with the help of Bayesian framework that combines the solution of the forward model and the simulated measurements. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is applied to explore the sample space that drives samples to proper convergence and the selection or acceptance of the new samples is performed using Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. Thus, the novelty of the present work is the use of artificial neural network (ANN) as surrogate model, that not only retains the full nature of the complete model but also acts as a fast forward model in the inverse analysis, within the Bayesian framework that quantifies the uncertainty of heat flux. The results of the present work emphasize that even for noise-added temperature data the final estimates are very close to the actual values and the uncertainty of the unknown heat flux is reported in terms of standard deviation accompanied by mean and maximum a posteriori (MAP). © 2020, Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.