Conference Papers
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://idr.nitk.ac.in/handle/123456789/28506
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Item Ensemble RDLR Architecture for Short-Term Solar Power Forecasting(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2024) Ayappane, H.; Kashyap, Y.Given the drastic shift of global sentiment towards renewable energy, it becomes incredibly important to match supply with demand. However the highly variable nature of weather makes it difficult to accurately predict the output of a solar power plant. Through this paper, we will approach this problem by using an ensemble model consisting of both machine learning and neural networks (NN) as base models to forecast the amount of energy that needs to be produced by a solar plant over a short-term time horizon, which in our case will be 0 minute (immediate), 5 minute, 30 minute and 90 minute. Each base model is fine tuned to encourage high diversity and low correlation to improve prediction accuracy. The expected stability or generalization from RF-DNN combined with the memory retention capability of the LSTM network should provide an ideal predictor for time series forecasting of a stochastic process like weather. © 2024 IEEE.Item Enhancing High-Frequency PV Power Forecast Using Optimal Hyperparameter Setting in LSTM(Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2025) Kumar, A.; Kashyap, Y.; Nasar, R.Solar energy plays a significant role in the world’s shift to renewable and sustainable energy. So, accurate forecasting techniques are essential for effective grid management and smooth integration into current energy infrastructures. Traditional solar forecasting approaches often encounter limitations in capturing the complex and nonlinear relationships inherent in solar power generation patterns. In response to these challenges, the present paper demonstrates the forecast analysis of high-frequency (HF) PV power components, which is obtained with the decomposition of actual PV power data. The focus of this paper is on the analysis of high-frequency PV power components as they exhibit high fluctuation. To capture this high fluctuation feature present in PV power, a moving average filter is applied to smooth the input data and potentially enhance the 60 min ahead forecasting performance using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. The best-performing LSTM model has secured MAE= 1.114 % and RMSE = 2.608 % for 60 min ahead forecast. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2025.