Hydrological responses to land use/land cover change in Tikur Wuha Watershed in Southern Ethiopia

Abstract

Due to its diverse environmental impacts, change in land use/ land cover (LU/LC) has become a global concern. LU/LC change is a critical factor that directly impacts watershed hydrology. The study intends to assess the LU/LC dynamics and their impacts on the streamflow of the Tikur Wuha watershed (TWW) in Ethiopia. LU/LC change was assessed using Landsat images. Each image is classified using a maximum likelihood algorithm of the supervised classification method. The Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT) model were used to examine the impact of LU/LC change on streamflow. The overall accuracy of the LU/LC maps ranged from 77.50 to 87.33%. The findings demonstrated an increase in built-up and cultivated areas and a decrease in shrubland, grassland, swampy areas, and water bodies. The calibration and validation results showed a reasonable performance rate of the SWAT model. The LU/LC changes, which occurred between 1978 and 2017, had increased the average annual streamflow by 8.12%, 9.78%, and 14.77% between 1978 and1988, 1978 and 1998, 1978 and 2017. The Kiremt season flow increased by 9.80% during the first half of the study period (1978–1998) and by 5.41% in the second half (1998–2017). It is risen by 15.74% in 2017 compared to in 1978. The observed changes in the streamflow have resulted from LU/LC changes in the TWW. The study suggests that quick action is required to manage the LU/LC shift and execute land use planning to ensure water availability in the watershed. © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.