Faculty Publications
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Item Vegetation dynamics in a tropical river basin inferred from MODIS satellite data(2013) Laxmi, K.; Nandagiri, L.The objective of this study was to analyze temporal and spatial dynamics of vegetation and land use/land cover (LU/LC) characteristics in a humid tropical river basin originating in the forested Western Ghats mountain ranges using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data. Both intra-annual and inter-annual variations in the parameters related to vegetation were analyzed in the Netravathi river basin (3314 km2) which is located in Karnataka State, India. MODIS data products on Land Surface Temperature and Reflectance were used as input to map the pixel-wise variations in albedo, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Fraction of Vegetation (Fr) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) for two dates each (summer and winter) during the years 2002 and 2006. The fact that 2002 experienced a relatively wet summer followed by a relatively dry winter and 2006 experienced opposite conditions, proved useful in interpreting variations as influenced by wetness conditions. Overall results indicated significant variability in the parameters for major LU/LC classes of evergreen /semievergreen forest, scrub forest and agriculture. While albedo values appeared quite sensitive to wetness conditions, NDVI (and Fr) exhibited significant seasonal changes for some LU/LC classes but remained largely unaffected by wetness conditions. LST values corrected for elevation effects (LST*) were influenced by both LU/LC and wetness conditions. Differences in LST* values were as high as 70K between summer and winter of 2006 for some LU/LC classes. Lowest temperatures were recorded for the evergreen/ semievergreen forest class. Similar inferences could be drawn when variations in parameters were analyzed for 20 selected pixels located at different elevations and possessing each of the eight LU/LC classes. The methodology proposed in this research may prove to be useful in regional scale monitoring and mapping of tropical forests and other LU/LC categories in a convenient and cost-effective manner. MODIS satellite data products used in this study provides information on surface characteristics at a reasonable resolution. This permits identification of not only differences in LU/LC classes but also on changes in surface characteristics as influenced by season and wetness conditions. © 2013 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.Item Trend and variability of hydrometeorological variables of Tikur Wuha watershed in Ethiopia(Springer, 2020) Ketema, A.; Dwarakish, G.S.The study assessed monthly, seasonal, and annual variability and trend of hydrometeorological variables for 1978–2017 of Tikur Wuha watershed in Ethiopia. The Mann-Kendall trend test and Sen’s slope estimator were employed for the trend and size of the trend, respectively. Besides, the coefficient of variation has been computed for variability analysis. The areal average annual rainfall exhibited an insignificant declining trend with a magnitude of 20.8 mm/decade at a watershed scale. The watershed has been suffering from irregular and erratic rainfall during the dry season. Temperature exhibited a statistically significant rising trend with minimum temperature rises faster than that of the maximum temperature. The streamflow of the Tikur Wuha River was found to be increasing at the rate of 21.16 MCM/decade. The increasing trend of streamflow without the corresponding increase of rainfall in the watershed needs further investigation. © 2020, Saudi Society for Geosciences.Item Extraction of Nonlinear Trends in Time Series of Rainfall Using Singular Spectrum Analysis(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) onlinejls@asce.org, 2020) Aswathaiah, U.; Nandagiri, L.Characterization of nonlinear trends in time series of hydroclimatic variables exhibiting nonstationarity is necessary for more realistic projections of climate change and for optimal design of hydraulic structures. The present study was conducted to demonstrate the applicability of a novel Monte-Carlo-based singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to characterize nonlinear trends in historical time series of rainfall characteristics. Long-term (1960-2015) rainfall records for 17 gauges located in the Malaprabha River Basin, India, were used to analyze spatiotemporal variabilities of trends in rainfall totals and number of rainy days for annual and seasonal time periods. While the traditional Sen's Slope and Mann-Kendall (MK) trend tests indicated statistically nonsignificant decreasing monotonic trends at most gauge stations, SSA revealed the existence of steep nonlinear trends and distinct change points in the direction of the trend over the period of record for both rainfall and rainy days. Results of this study demonstrate the potential for SSA to extract crucial information on the trajectories of nonlinear trends and change points in time series of hydroclimatic variables that exhibit nonstationarity. © 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.Item Long-Term Climate Variability and Drought Characteristics in Tropical Region of India(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2021) Vijay, A.; Sivan, S.D.; Mudbhatkal, A.; Mahesha, A.This work reports climate change signals and long-Term trend analysis of climate variables, meteorological drought, and extreme climate indexes over the tropical state of Kerala in India. The trend analysis reveals statistically significant decrease of annual and southwest monsoon rainfall (as much as 63 mm and 55 mm per decade, respectively). A decrease in number of annual rainy days (up to 2.8 days/decade) is also reported. Temperature trend analysis indicates an increasing trend with as high as 1.3°C/decade. The spatio-Temporal variation of extreme climate indexes across Kerala shows a decreasing trend of extreme precipitation indexes and an increasing trend of extreme temperature indexes. R95 and R95p decreased in northern and southern Kerala whereas R5 index increased in central and southern regions. Warm days have significantly increased whereas cold days exhibit a decreasing trend across the state. The increase in warmer nights is statistically significant whereas colder nights are decreasing in central and southern regions. Meteorological drought using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) reveals increasing occurrence of droughts in Kerala with higher frequencies over southern and central Kerala. © 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.Item Trends of seasonal and annual rainfall of semi-arid districts of Karnataka, India: application of innovative trend analysis approach(Springer, 2023) Chowdari, K.; Deb Barma, S.D.; Bhat, N.; Girisha, R.; Gouda, K.C.; Mahesha, A.Trend analysis of rainfall is often carried out in water resources management to understand its distribution over a given region. The cumulative seasonal and annual rainfall derived from monthly datasets spanning 102 years (1901–2002) for 11 districts of the semi-arid Karnataka, India, was used for the trend analysis. The two-step homogeneous test approach was carried out on all the time series. Then, lag-1 autocorrelation was conducted only on homogeneous time series. Only 78.18 % of the total time series data were detected as homogeneous, and 95.35% of time series data were found to have insignificant autocorrelation. Then, the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) method was applied to 43 homogeneous rainfall time series, as well as to 41 time series using the MK and SR tests, and to two time series using the mMK test. The MK and SR tests detected a significant trend in 14.63% of the time series, while the ITA method was able to detect a trend in 93.02% of the total time series data. The MK and SR tests revealed significant trends in winter and post-monsoon season precipitation for two districts, but only for one district in the case of summer and annual rainfall. No trend was identified for monsoon season precipitation. The mMK test showed a positive trend for the post-monsoon season in a district, while the ITA method revealed significant trends for all seasons in most districts. The sub-trend analysis revealed trends that traditional methods were unable to detect. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Austria, part of Springer Nature.Item Trend Analysis of Rainfall and Meteorological Drought Indices over India During 1958–2017(Springer Nature, 2023) Kikon, A.; Dodamani, B.M.Rainfall plays a very vital role and its deficit causes a huge impact on the environment. Understanding the pattern of rainfall and drought trends has become increasingly crucial in many regions due to climate change. In this study, using the rainfall data from 1958 to 2017 for thirty-four meteorological subdivisions of India, trend analysis is performed for annual and seasonal rainfall. Along with the rainfall trend analysis, the study is also performed for meteorological drought indices, i.e., Effective Drought Index (EDI), Standardized Precipitation Index-9 (SPI-9), and Standardized Precipitation Index-12 (SPI-12). The results obtained from the Mann–Kendall test show that the rainfall patterns in the area under investigation are changing over time. As evidenced by the decrease in rainfall, the study region has been experiencing a lack of water supply in numerous subdivisions. The drought frequency for the meteorological drought indices has also been investigated, and it has been observed that the region is experiencing drought from extremely dry conditions to normal dry conditions. The findings in this study will help us to better comprehend the changes in rainfall and drought severity over the study region. This study may also benefit effective disaster management and preparedness strategies for this catastrophe, which is wreaking havoc on the environment. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.