Faculty Publications

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    Assessment of meteorological drought return periods over a temporal rainfall change
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2021) Datta, R.; Pathak, A.A.; Dodamani, B.M.
    Investigation of the rainfall homogeneity along with bivariate frequency analysis of drought considering change points in long-term annual precipitation series has been carried out in this study. Nonparametric Pettitt’s test was applied for detecting change points of annual precipitation series at different grid locations over the Ghataprabha River Basin. Depending on the results of change point analysis, we divided the entire period of 1950–2013 into two subperiods: from 1950 to 1980 and 1981 to 2013. Characterization of meteorological drought is performed with the help of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) at a time scale of three months for the period before the change point (1950–1980), after the change point (1981–2013) and for the entire period of 1950–2013. Three Archimedean copulas, namely Clayton, Gumbel–Houggard, and Frank, were tested for joint distribution modeling. The Akaike’s and Bayesian information criteria have been implemented for selecting the best copula; the Gumbel–Hougaard copula performed comparatively better for all three periods. Drought return periods were calculated using the joint distribution of drought characteristics. The study gives valuable insight into drought risk management on a regional scale. © Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd 2021.
  • Item
    Assessing the changing pattern of hydro-climatic variables in the Aghanashini River watershed, India
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2023) Yashas Kumar, H.K.; Varija, K.
    Growing population and climate change have altered the hydro-climatic trend from past decades. This manuscript analyses the abrupt shift in these time series and their changing pattern using historical data sets. The Pettitt test and the Standard Normal Homogeneity Test were used to evaluate the time series' homogeneity. The Concentration Index, Precipitation Concentration Index and Seasonality Index were employed to analyse the spatial variability of daily, monthly and seasonal rainfall patterns over the Aghanashini River watershed. Furthermore, the temporal trend in the rainfall, streamflow, and temperature time series was investigated using Mann–Kendall (MK) and the graphical Innovative-Şen (IŞ) test. Clear evidence of climate change impact on the rainfall and streamflow pattern was recognized, as there is an upward shift in the maximum temperature time series and a downward shift in the rainfall and streamflow time series after 2001. The rainfall indices showed that the watershed has fewer percentage of rainy days and stronger rainfall seasonality, indicating a possible risk of flash floods in the downstream of the watershed. Additionally, the results of the MK and IŞ trend tests paralleled each other and provided support for the findings emphasized by rainfall indices. © 2023, The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences & Polish Academy of Sciences.