Faculty Publications
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Item Tropical, Seasonal River Basin Development: Hydrogeological Analysis(2011) Shetkar, R.V.; Mahesha, A.This study presents a hydrogeological analysis of a humid tropical, seasonal river in the context of climate change, increasing demand for water, and uneven distribution of rainfall. We investigate the Netravathi basin, a tropical river basin of south India. The climate change effect on the basin was evident in terms of increasing trend in temperature by about 0.7°C/100 years and decreasing trend in the river flow during the monsoon by about 0.8% of average annual flow per year using the Mann-Kendall trend test. Even though rainfall was found to be decreasing, no significant trend could be established. From the trend analysis of the river flow, it was found that there is an overall declining trend with longer scarcity periods. In addition, the trends of magnitude and frequency of high flows are declining. Even though the region receives an average annual rainfall of about 3,930 mm, it has nonuniform distribution with most of the rainfall confining to a few months of a year. In view of this, the region suffers from a prolonged dry period during February to May. The projected domestic water demand of the region for the next 25 years is estimated to be increasing from the present 0.09 mm3 to 0.25 mm3 per day because of rapid urbanization and industrialization. The purpose of this investigation is to highlight the effects of climate change and uneven distribution of rainfall in the river basin. This may assist in proper planning of the basin through strategies such as river water harvesting, which is investigated in the companion paper. Because the Netravathi River is a seasonal and tidal river, and saltwater intrusion along the river during the summer months is affecting the development of the basin. It was found that the river water is affected up to distance of about 22,000 m from the Arabian sea and the wells on the banks of the river are found to be highly vulnerable to saltwater intrusion during the summer period (March to May). © 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.Item Land use scenario analysis and prediction of runoff using SCS-CN method: A case study from the Gudgudi tank, Haveri district, Karnataka, India(2011) Bhagwat, N.B.; Shetty, A.; Hegde, V.S.Runoff from the Gudgudi tank catchment (209 ha) near Hangal in the Northern Karnataka is estimated employing Soil Conservation Services(SCS) model based on the hydrological data and land use/ land cover data. Rainfall measured for 2006 using a tipping bucket indicated annual rainfall of 887.7mm in the tank catchment. Textural characteristics of the soil indicate sandy-clayey type which corresponds to hydrological soil group "C and D". Average Soil infiltration rate of 0.18 cm/hour for the forest-land and 0.21 cm/hour for agriculture land has been observed. Weighted curve number is arrived based on the antecedent moisture conditions, and runoff is estimated for the existing land-use. Areastorage curve is constructed using the tank bed contours. Considering the hypothetical changes in the agriculture and forest area coverage, optimum conditions for maximizing the runoff and storage in the tank is arrived. The analysis suggests land use pattern of 15% of forest cover and 85% of agriculture land coverage in this region provide maximum runoff and storage in the tank for sustainable development. © 2011 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.Item Prediction of daily pan evaporation using support vector machines(CAFET INNOVA Technical Society cafetinnova@gmail.com 1-2-18/103, Mohini Mansion, Gagan Mahal Road, Domalguda, Hyderabad 500029, 2014) Pammar, L.; Deka, P.C.Water scarcity globally has lead to severe problems in water management. Understanding the rate of evaporation, from surface water resources is essential for precise management of the water balance. However, evaporation is difficult to measure experimentally due to its nature. Preparing reliable forecasts of evaporation has become an essential element towards efficient water management. The objective of this paper is to predict daily pan evaporation using different kernel functions of Support Vector Machines (SVM's) based regression approach for the meteorological data obtained for the region 'Lake Abaya' which is located in the Great Rift Valley, southern part of Ethiopia. The meteorological parameters considered for study includes daily details of mean-temperature (T), wind speed (W), sunshine hours (Sh), relative humidity (Rh), rainfall (P). Among the kernel functions used for study, the polynomial kernel function proved its credibility by showing improved performance in training and testing periods. The evidence for performance of polynomial kernel function was seen in terms of correlation coefficient (CC) obtained for training and testing is respectively 0.940, 0.956 which is acceptable. © 2014 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.Item Prediction model for peninsular Indian summer monsoon rainfall using data mining and statistical approaches(Elsevier Ltd, 2017) Vathsala, H.; Koolagudi, S.G.In this paper we discuss a data mining application for predicting peninsular Indian summer monsoon rainfall, and propose an algorithm that combine data mining and statistical techniques. We select likely predictors based on association rules that have the highest confidence levels. We then cluster the selected predictors to reduce their dimensions and use cluster membership values for classification. We derive the predictors from local conditions in southern India, including mean sea level pressure, wind speed, and maximum and minimum temperatures. The global condition variables include southern oscillation and Indian Ocean dipole conditions. The algorithm predicts rainfall in five categories: Flood, Excess, Normal, Deficit and Drought. We use closed itemset mining, cluster membership calculations and a multilayer perceptron function in the algorithm to predict monsoon rainfall in peninsular India. Using Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology data, we found the prediction accuracy of our proposed approach to be exceptionally good. © 2016 Elsevier LtdItem Impacts of climate change on varied River-Flow regimes of southern india(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) onlinejls@asce.org, 2017) Mudbhatkal, A.; Raikar, R.V.; Venkatesh, B.; Mahesha, A.This paper assesses the possible impact of climate change on the hydrology of the subhumid and perhumid river regimes originating from the western mountain range (Western Ghats) of India. The modified Mann-Kendall test evaluates the trend of observed data (1975-2004) and RCP 4.5 data (2006-2070) of climatic variables. The results indicate a decreasing trend for annual rainfall over the Malaprabha River catchment (26 mm per year at the 5% significance level), whereas no trend is observed over the Netravathi River catchment at the 10% level. Indian southwestern monsoon rainfall shows a decreasing trend from 84 to 80% of total rainfall in the Malaprabha River catchment and from 80 to 77% in the Netravathi River catchment. Summer rains are found to be increasing in the Malaprabha River catchment (3-4.5% of total rainfall), whereas there is no significant trend for the Netravathi River catchment. Furthermore, the postmonsoon rainfall also shows a significant increase in the Malaprabha catchment (40 mm per decade at the 5% significance level) and the Netravathi catchment (30 mm per decade at the 10% significance level). The Netravathi River shows a decreasing trend for annual flow (0.22 Mm3 per year at the 10% significance level). However, for both catchments the temperature is found to be increasing by 0.2-0.8°C per decade. The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model is used to simulate the river catchments and exhibits a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.831 and 0.857 for the Malaprabha and Netravathi River catchments, respectively. In addition, a decreasing trend in the high flow is estimated for Netravathi, whereas the trend is increasing for Malaprabha. Thus the impacts of climate change over the Western Ghats are very evident, but the flow of each river responds differently. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.Item Long-range prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall using data mining and statistical approaches(Springer-Verlag Wien michaela.bolli@springer.at, 2017) Vathsala, H.; Koolagudi, S.G.This paper presents a hybrid model to better predict Indian summer monsoon rainfall. The algorithm considers suitable techniques for processing dense datasets. The proposed three-step algorithm comprises closed itemset generation-based association rule mining for feature selection, cluster membership for dimensionality reduction, and simple logistic function for prediction. The application of predicting rainfall into flood, excess, normal, deficit, and drought based on 36 predictors consisting of land and ocean variables is presented. Results show good accuracy in the considered study period of 37years (1969–2005). © 2016, Springer-Verlag Wien.Item Trends in extreme rainfall over ecologically sensitive Western Ghats and coastal regions of Karnataka: an observational assessment(Springer Verlag service@springer.de, 2018) Chandrashekar, V.D.; Shetty, A.Rainfall is one of the pivotal climatic variables, which influence spatio-temporal patterns of water availability. In this study, we have attempted to understand the interannual long-term trend analysis of the daily rainfall events of ? 2.5 mm and rainfall events of extreme threshold, over the Western Ghats and coastal region of Karnataka. High spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) daily gridded rainfall data set of Indian Meteorological Department was used for this study. Thirty-eight grid points in the study area was selected to analyze the daily precipitation for 113 years (1901–2013). Grid points were divided into two zones: low land (exposed to the sea and low elevated area/coastal region) and high land (interior from the sea and high elevated area/Western Ghats). The indices were selected from the list of climate change indices recommended by ETCCDI and are based on annual rainfall total (RR), yearly 1-day maximum rainfall, consecutive wet days (? 2.5 mm), Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII), annual frequency of very heavy rainfall (? 100 mm), frequency of very heavy rainfall (? 65–100 mm), moderate rainfall (? 2.5–65 mm), frequency of medium rainfall (? 40–65 mm), and frequency of low rainfall (? 20–40 mm). Mann-Kendall test was applied to the nine rainfall indices, and Theil-Sen estimator perceived the nature and the magnitude of slope in rainfall indices. The results show contrasting trends in the extreme rainfall indices in low land and high land regions. The changes in daily rainfall events in the low land region primarily indicate statistically significant positive trends in the annual total rainfall, yearly 1-day maximum rainfall, SDII, frequency of very heavy rainfall, and heavy rainfall as well as medium rainfall events. Furthermore, the overall annual rainfall strongly correlated with all the rainfall indices in both regions, especially with indices that represent heavy rainfall events which is responsible for the total increase of rainfall. © 2018, Saudi Society for Geosciences.Item Assessment of consumption and availability of water in the upper Omo-Gibe basin, Ethiopia(Springer, 2020) Nesru, M.; Nagaraj, M.K.; Shetty, A.Understanding water balance components is imperative for proper policy and decision making, specifically in the upper part of the Omo-Gibe basin (UOGB) Ethiopia. The objective of this study is to explore the possibility of assessing consumption and availability of water using freely available satellite data and secondary data. Using twenty-three rain gauge stations data, a spatial average of rainfall was computed using the Thiessen polygon approach. Actual evapotranspiration (ETa) was estimated through the Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS). Input data used are, 16 clouds free Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images covering the study area for estimation of the spatial distribution of actual evapotranspiration covering the whole cropping year from the months of November 2003 to October 2004. Additionally, Priestly and Taylor’s approach was used to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ET0). For the study period, the result of estimated precipitation and ETa showed that the UOGB received 41,080 mm3 of precipitation, while 24,135 mm3 become evapotranspired. The assessed outflow from the basin is 17.6% of the precipitation and demonstrated that water is a scares resource in the UOGB. © 2019, Saudi Society for Geosciences.Item Trend and variability of hydrometeorological variables of Tikur Wuha watershed in Ethiopia(Springer, 2020) Ketema, A.; Dwarakish, G.S.The study assessed monthly, seasonal, and annual variability and trend of hydrometeorological variables for 1978–2017 of Tikur Wuha watershed in Ethiopia. The Mann-Kendall trend test and Sen’s slope estimator were employed for the trend and size of the trend, respectively. Besides, the coefficient of variation has been computed for variability analysis. The areal average annual rainfall exhibited an insignificant declining trend with a magnitude of 20.8 mm/decade at a watershed scale. The watershed has been suffering from irregular and erratic rainfall during the dry season. Temperature exhibited a statistically significant rising trend with minimum temperature rises faster than that of the maximum temperature. The streamflow of the Tikur Wuha River was found to be increasing at the rate of 21.16 MCM/decade. The increasing trend of streamflow without the corresponding increase of rainfall in the watershed needs further investigation. © 2020, Saudi Society for Geosciences.Item Laterites and lateritic soils: Geology, engineering properties and problems(International Association of Lowland Technology 1 Honjo Saga 840-8502, 2020) Shivashankar, R.; Thomas, B.C.Lateritic soils are abundantly available in the Konkan belt in the western coast of peninsular India, in the four southern states namely - Kerala, Karnataka, Goa and Maharashtra. Along with heavy rainfall (annual rainfall of 2000mm - 4000mm), the region is characterised by high humidity and little variation in temperatures. The typical stratification in lateritic areas consists of soft to hard lateritic crust at the top - about 3m thick, underlain by a layer of lithomargic clay (8 to 10m thick) underlain by parent rock, which is granitic gneiss. This paper briefly discusses the following aspects of lateritic soils (a) geotechnical properties, including those of laterites, lithomargic clays, lateritic lithomarges and lithomargic laterites (b) erosion studies from hole erosion tests (c) slope stability problems of excavated slopes in lateritic formations (d) role of vegetation i.e. turfing and/or trees on slopes in the stability of slopes. It is concluded that lateritic soils, especially lithomargic clays and lateritic lithomarges (1) behave somewhat like dispersive soils. (2) They are highly erosive by nature, especially lithomargic clays with higher content of sand and silt (3) Stability of both excavated and embankment slopes depends on good drainage control. Providing berms and vegetation on slopes adds to stability of slopes. © 2020 International Association of Lowland Technology. All rights reserved.