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    An exploratory analysis of rainfall: A case study on western ghats of India
    (IEOM Society ieom-society@iieom.org, 2018) Rao, P.S.B.; Shetty, S.; Umesh, P.; Shetty, A.
    In this study high resolution 0.250 ×0.250 (approximately 25Km×25Km) gridded daily rainfall data is used to analyze the effect of changing climate on distribution of rainfall in different topographical zones of Western Ghats (WG) of India over the period 1901-2013. The non parametric two tailed Mann- Kendall with Hamed and Rao's method of autocorrelation and Sen's slope estimator for obtaining magnitude of change over time period is used. The rainfall trend in annual, monsoon and post-monsoon is increasing in state of Goa and Coastal region of Karnataka state and significantly decreasing in some part of Kerala and Maharashtra state. Winter season rainfall has seen a declined trend in southern part of the study area and in high elevated region of Kerala state. Even the mean rainfall over the study area is declining from 1951-1960 with disturbance in alternate sequence of flood and drought year from period 1990. The frequency of heavy rainfall events (65mm-124.4mm) are increasing in recent decades with 40-50% contribution from 2000-2013 in regions of Maharashtra state. The trend of heavy rainfall events are increasing in West Coast of India at 5% significance level with no trend in very heavy to extreme rainfall events (>124.5mm). © IEOM Society International.
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    Hydrological impacts of afforestation - A review of research in India
    (Springer Nature, 2014) Venkatesh, B.; Lakshman, N.; Purandara, B.K.
    We review the current status of experimental studies in India to understand the linkages between afforestation and hydrology. This discipline deals with the use and management of water, social awareness of environmental problems, and ecosystem limitations on provision of watershed services by river basins in the mountain regions of India. Our review begins with examination of experimental works in tropical countries and proceeds to discussion of initiatives of Indian research institutes and Government organizations towards establishing experimental watersheds to understand the impacts of land cover changes on hydrologic regimes in the Indian sub-continent. This is followed by the review of the experimental work carried out by various authors to assess the impact of land cover changes on major water balance components such as, runoff, groundwater, evapotranspiration and sediment yield. The spatial scales of these experiments have been limited to small watersheds or field plots. This paper also describes impacts of human interventions (such as plantations of exotic forest species to restore degraded landscapes) on the water balance components in diverse hydro-geo-environmental conditions in the Indian sub-continent. We focus on identifying the research areas which require immediate attention to develop tools to assist planners and policy makers in assessing and managing the water resources in these complex environments. The review is largely based on research results reported during the last 20 to 30 years. © 2014 Northeast Forestry University and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
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    Modelling soil moisture under different land covers in a sub-humid environment of Western Ghats, India
    (Indian Academy of Sciences, 2011) Venkatesh, B.; Nandagiri, L.; Purandara, B.K.; Reddy, V.B.
    The objective of this study is to apply and test a simple parametric water balance model for prediction of soil moisture regime in the presence of vegetation. The intention was to evaluate the differences in model parameterization and performance when applied to small watersheds under three different types of land covers (Acacia, degraded forest and natural forest). The watersheds selected for this purpose are located in the sub-humid climate within the Western Ghats, Karnataka, India. Model calibration and validation were performed using a dataset comprising depth-averaged soil moisture content measurements made at weekly time steps from October 2004 to December 2008. In addition to this, a sensitivity analysis was carried out with respect to the water-holding capacity of the soils with the aim of explaining the suitability and adaptation of exotic vegetation types under the prevailing climatic conditions. Results indicated reasonably good performance of the model in simulating the pattern and magnitude of weekly average soil moisture content in 150 cm deep soil layer under all three land covers. This study demonstrates that a simple, robust and parametrically parsimonious model is capable of simulating the temporal dynamics of soil moisture content under distinctly different land covers. Also, results of sensitivity analysis revealed that exotic plant species such as Acacia have adapted themselves effectively to the local climate. © Indian Academy of Sciences.
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    Analysis of observed soil moisture patterns under different land covers in Western Ghats, India
    (2011) Venkatesh, B.; Lakshman, N.; Purandara, B.K.; Reddy, V.B.
    An understanding of the soil moisture variability is necessary to characterize the linkages between a region's hydrology, ecology and physiography. In the changing land use scenario of Western Ghats, India, where deforestation along with extensive afforestation with exotic species is being undertaken, there is an urgent need to evaluate the impacts of these changes on regional hydrology. The objectives of the present study were: (a) to understand spatio-temporal variability of soil water potential and soil moisture content under different land covers in the humid tropical Western Ghats region and (b) to evaluate differences if any in spatial and temporal patterns of soil moisture content as influenced by nature of land cover. To this end, experimental watersheds located in the Western Ghats of Uttara Kannada District, Karnataka State, India, were established for monitoring of soil moisture. These watersheds possessed homogenous land covers of acacia plantation, natural forest and degraded forest. In addition to the measurements of hydro-meteorological parameters, soil matric potential measurements were made at four locations in each watershed at 50 cm, 100 cm and 150 cm depths at weekly time intervals during the period October 2004-December 2008.Soil moisture contents derived from potential measurements collected were analyzed to characterize the spatial and temporal variations across the three land covers. The results of ANOVA (p<0.01, LSD) test indicated that there was no significant change in the mean soil moisture across land covers. However, significant differences in soil moisture with depth were observed under forested watershed, whereas no such changes with depth were noticed under acacia and degraded land covers. Also, relationships between soil moisture at different depths were evaluated using correlation analysis and multiple linear regression models for prediction of soil moisture from climatic variables and antecedent moisture condition were developed and tested. A regression model relating near-surface soil moisture (50 cm) with profile soil moisture content was developed which may prove useful when surface soil moisture contents derived from satellite remote sensing are available. Overall results of this study indicate that while the nature of land cover has an influence on the spatio-temporal variability of soil moisture, other variables related to topography may have a more dominant effect. © 2010 Elsevier B.V.
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    Soil water fluxes under different land covers - A case study from Western Ghats, India
    (2011) Venkatesh, B.; Nandagiri, L.; Purandara, B.K.
    Knowledge of soil water fluxes is essential in hydrologic studies related to infiltration, runoff, ground water recharge and water uptake by vegetation. Previous studies have investigated the role played by soil and atmospheric factors on soil water fluxes in the unsaturated zone, but few studies have investigated the role played by vegetation or land cover. The present study was taken up understand the effect of land cover on soil water fluxes through long-term field measurements made in three experimental watersheds located in Western Ghats mountain ranges covering a portion of Uttara Kannada District, Karnataka State, India. Soil and climatic conditions were the same for the selected watersheds but they possessed different land covers - natural forest, degraded forest and acacia plantation. In addition to measurements of hydro-meteorological parameters, soil matric potential measurements were made at 4 locations in each of the watersheds up to a depth of 150 cm at an interval of 50 cm. Measurements were made for a period of 2 years (2007-2008) at weekly time intervals Depth-wise soil matric potential measurements were used to estimate soil water fluxes using Darcy's equation for unsaturated porous media. The estimated values of soil water fluxes were analyzed for their temporal distribution and stability. Results indicated that there is an improvement in soil moisture holding under the acacia plantation in comparison to degraded watershed. The estimated deviation of the soil water flux from the field average values indicate that the points located on milder slopes are representative of watershed mean soil water flux. Results also indicated the temporal persistence of soil water fluxes. © 2011 CAFET-INNOVA technical society. All right reserved.
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    Vegetation dynamics in a tropical river basin inferred from MODIS satellite data
    (2013) Laxmi, K.; Nandagiri, L.
    The objective of this study was to analyze temporal and spatial dynamics of vegetation and land use/land cover (LU/LC) characteristics in a humid tropical river basin originating in the forested Western Ghats mountain ranges using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data. Both intra-annual and inter-annual variations in the parameters related to vegetation were analyzed in the Netravathi river basin (3314 km2) which is located in Karnataka State, India. MODIS data products on Land Surface Temperature and Reflectance were used as input to map the pixel-wise variations in albedo, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Fraction of Vegetation (Fr) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) for two dates each (summer and winter) during the years 2002 and 2006. The fact that 2002 experienced a relatively wet summer followed by a relatively dry winter and 2006 experienced opposite conditions, proved useful in interpreting variations as influenced by wetness conditions. Overall results indicated significant variability in the parameters for major LU/LC classes of evergreen /semievergreen forest, scrub forest and agriculture. While albedo values appeared quite sensitive to wetness conditions, NDVI (and Fr) exhibited significant seasonal changes for some LU/LC classes but remained largely unaffected by wetness conditions. LST values corrected for elevation effects (LST*) were influenced by both LU/LC and wetness conditions. Differences in LST* values were as high as 70K between summer and winter of 2006 for some LU/LC classes. Lowest temperatures were recorded for the evergreen/ semievergreen forest class. Similar inferences could be drawn when variations in parameters were analyzed for 20 selected pixels located at different elevations and possessing each of the eight LU/LC classes. The methodology proposed in this research may prove to be useful in regional scale monitoring and mapping of tropical forests and other LU/LC categories in a convenient and cost-effective manner. MODIS satellite data products used in this study provides information on surface characteristics at a reasonable resolution. This permits identification of not only differences in LU/LC classes but also on changes in surface characteristics as influenced by season and wetness conditions. © 2013 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.
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    Impacts of climate change on varied River-Flow regimes of southern india
    (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) onlinejls@asce.org, 2017) Mudbhatkal, A.; Raikar, R.V.; Venkatesh, B.; Mahesha, A.
    This paper assesses the possible impact of climate change on the hydrology of the subhumid and perhumid river regimes originating from the western mountain range (Western Ghats) of India. The modified Mann-Kendall test evaluates the trend of observed data (1975-2004) and RCP 4.5 data (2006-2070) of climatic variables. The results indicate a decreasing trend for annual rainfall over the Malaprabha River catchment (26 mm per year at the 5% significance level), whereas no trend is observed over the Netravathi River catchment at the 10% level. Indian southwestern monsoon rainfall shows a decreasing trend from 84 to 80% of total rainfall in the Malaprabha River catchment and from 80 to 77% in the Netravathi River catchment. Summer rains are found to be increasing in the Malaprabha River catchment (3-4.5% of total rainfall), whereas there is no significant trend for the Netravathi River catchment. Furthermore, the postmonsoon rainfall also shows a significant increase in the Malaprabha catchment (40 mm per decade at the 5% significance level) and the Netravathi catchment (30 mm per decade at the 10% significance level). The Netravathi River shows a decreasing trend for annual flow (0.22 Mm3 per year at the 10% significance level). However, for both catchments the temperature is found to be increasing by 0.2-0.8°C per decade. The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model is used to simulate the river catchments and exhibits a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.831 and 0.857 for the Malaprabha and Netravathi River catchments, respectively. In addition, a decreasing trend in the high flow is estimated for Netravathi, whereas the trend is increasing for Malaprabha. Thus the impacts of climate change over the Western Ghats are very evident, but the flow of each river responds differently. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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    Spatio-temporal precipitation variability over Western Ghats and Coastal region of Karnataka, envisaged using high resolution observed gridded data
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2017) Doranalu Chandrashekar, V.; Shetty, A.; Singh, B.B.; Sharma, S.
    Climatic changes in the recent decades have led to large variations in precipitation over the different geographical regions of the globe. Changes in precipitation pattern over the space and time can severely affect the country like India, which has a large spatio-temporal variability in the precipitation. Any shift in the mean precipitation pattern pose a challenge to economy, agricultural farming and the ecosystem of these regions. In the present study, we analyze the seasonal spatio-temporal variation in trends of long term (1901–2013) observed high resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) gridded daily precipitation data of the Indian Meteorological Department over Western Ghats and coastal region of Karnataka, vulnerable to the risks of climate change. Our analysis shows increasing trend in seasonal ratio of precipitation over the Southern coastal plains and the adjacent Western Ghats region during pre-monsoon (MAM) while the southern coastal plains show decreasing trend in monsoon period (JJAS). Daily intensity index of precipitation during monsoon shows increasing trend in northern plains with decreasing trend in the medium precipitation events. Our study finds that different topographic regions of Karnataka have different responses in the trends of precipitation, particularly the response of plains is quite different to that of the higher elevated Ghat region. © 2017, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature.
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    Bias correction methods for hydrologic impact studies over India's Western Ghat basins
    (American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) onlinejls@asce.org, 2018) Mudbhatkal, A.; Mahesha, M.
    The regional climate models (RCMs) used in the analysis of the impact of climate variables on the hydrology of river basins needs appropriate preprocessing (bias correction) to represent and reproduce future climate with a fair degree of accuracy. The performance of bias corrections methods was assessed in this investigation on the basis of their ability to minimize error on climate variables and streamflow. This work compares the performance of five bias correction methods applied for precipitation and four methods for temperature in modeling the hydrology of the river catchments of theWestern Ghats of India. TheWestern Ghats are a mountainous forest range along the entire west coast of India that plays a major role in the distribution of Indian monsoon rains. Simulations were used to evaluate the performance of the bias correction methods. Using raw RCM, bias corrected precipitation and temperature time series, streamflows were estimated by the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) hydrological model. The results indicated that the raw RCM-simulated precipitation was biased by 42% and the temperature was biased by 12% across the catchments investigated. Subsequently, a bias of 65% was found in the streamflow. The performance of the delta change correction method was consistently better for precipitation (with Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE > 0.75 for 5 catchments) and temperature (NSE = 1) compared with other methods. Good performance was observed between the observed and bias corrected streamflow (daily time scale) for the catchments Purna (NSE = 0.97), Ulhas (NSE = 0.64), Aghanashini (NSE = 0.82), Netravathi (NSE = 0.89), and Chaliyar (NSE = 0.90); low performance with an NSE of 0.3 was observed for the catchments Kajvi and Vamanapuram. The methods failed for Malaprabha and Tunga catchments. The results indicate that the delta change correction method performed best in analyzing the hydrological impact of climate variables on the windward side of Western Ghats of India. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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    Trends in extreme rainfall over ecologically sensitive Western Ghats and coastal regions of Karnataka: an observational assessment
    (Springer Verlag service@springer.de, 2018) Chandrashekar, V.D.; Shetty, A.
    Rainfall is one of the pivotal climatic variables, which influence spatio-temporal patterns of water availability. In this study, we have attempted to understand the interannual long-term trend analysis of the daily rainfall events of ? 2.5 mm and rainfall events of extreme threshold, over the Western Ghats and coastal region of Karnataka. High spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) daily gridded rainfall data set of Indian Meteorological Department was used for this study. Thirty-eight grid points in the study area was selected to analyze the daily precipitation for 113 years (1901–2013). Grid points were divided into two zones: low land (exposed to the sea and low elevated area/coastal region) and high land (interior from the sea and high elevated area/Western Ghats). The indices were selected from the list of climate change indices recommended by ETCCDI and are based on annual rainfall total (RR), yearly 1-day maximum rainfall, consecutive wet days (? 2.5 mm), Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII), annual frequency of very heavy rainfall (? 100 mm), frequency of very heavy rainfall (? 65–100 mm), moderate rainfall (? 2.5–65 mm), frequency of medium rainfall (? 40–65 mm), and frequency of low rainfall (? 20–40 mm). Mann-Kendall test was applied to the nine rainfall indices, and Theil-Sen estimator perceived the nature and the magnitude of slope in rainfall indices. The results show contrasting trends in the extreme rainfall indices in low land and high land regions. The changes in daily rainfall events in the low land region primarily indicate statistically significant positive trends in the annual total rainfall, yearly 1-day maximum rainfall, SDII, frequency of very heavy rainfall, and heavy rainfall as well as medium rainfall events. Furthermore, the overall annual rainfall strongly correlated with all the rainfall indices in both regions, especially with indices that represent heavy rainfall events which is responsible for the total increase of rainfall. © 2018, Saudi Society for Geosciences.