Faculty Publications

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    Conjunctive use in India's Varada River Basin
    (American Water Works Association cs-journals@wiley.com, 2009) Ramesh, H.; Mahesha, A.
    The use of groundwater in conjunction with surface water resources has gained prominence in regions experiencing scarce or uneven distribution of water. In the Varada River Basin in Karnataka, India, for example, an optimization model was developed for the conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater resources because of the increasing demand on agricultural and domestic sectors of this area's water supply. Monsoon rains, which occur only six months a year, predominantly control the basin's agricultural activities. However, the area has an immense need for efficient use of available water resources during the rest of the year. The model, based on linear programming, optimizes the allocation of groundwater and surface water subject to hydraulic and stream flow constraints. The model incorporates policy scenarios that add to the sustainability of the system. The developed conjunctive-use model is simple but effective in computing the optimal use of the Varada basin's water resources.
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    Tropical, Seasonal River Basin Development: Hydrogeological Analysis
    (2011) Shetkar, R.V.; Mahesha, A.
    This study presents a hydrogeological analysis of a humid tropical, seasonal river in the context of climate change, increasing demand for water, and uneven distribution of rainfall. We investigate the Netravathi basin, a tropical river basin of south India. The climate change effect on the basin was evident in terms of increasing trend in temperature by about 0.7°C/100 years and decreasing trend in the river flow during the monsoon by about 0.8% of average annual flow per year using the Mann-Kendall trend test. Even though rainfall was found to be decreasing, no significant trend could be established. From the trend analysis of the river flow, it was found that there is an overall declining trend with longer scarcity periods. In addition, the trends of magnitude and frequency of high flows are declining. Even though the region receives an average annual rainfall of about 3,930 mm, it has nonuniform distribution with most of the rainfall confining to a few months of a year. In view of this, the region suffers from a prolonged dry period during February to May. The projected domestic water demand of the region for the next 25 years is estimated to be increasing from the present 0.09 mm3 to 0.25 mm3 per day because of rapid urbanization and industrialization. The purpose of this investigation is to highlight the effects of climate change and uneven distribution of rainfall in the river basin. This may assist in proper planning of the basin through strategies such as river water harvesting, which is investigated in the companion paper. Because the Netravathi River is a seasonal and tidal river, and saltwater intrusion along the river during the summer months is affecting the development of the basin. It was found that the river water is affected up to distance of about 22,000 m from the Arabian sea and the wells on the banks of the river are found to be highly vulnerable to saltwater intrusion during the summer period (March to May). © 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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    Tropical, Seasonal River Basin Development through a Series of Vented Dams
    (2011) Shetkar, R.V.; Mahesha, A.
    Tropical rivers are predominantly seasonal in nature, and managing water resources during the deficit period is becoming more difficult because of the rapidly increasing demand for water. The present investigation focuses on harvesting Netravathi River water in the southern Indian peninsula through a series of vented dams with an estimated storage capacity of 102 Mm3 for use during the deficit period. A brief hydraulic design of a vented dam at a specific location is presented. The spacing and capacity of these reservoirs were worked out on the basis of the dam height and the river characteristics. The proposed vented dams are seasonal dams, and the closure of the vents will be decided on the flow available (i.e., 95% dependable flow), the storage capacity, and the minimum water release required for the downstream ecosystem. The appropriate time to start storing water in the vented dams was estimated to be in the month of November, and the entire process of storing water in the vented dams may last for about 41 days. An operational protocol for the storing process is presented. The investigations of aquifer parameters were performed by using electrical resistivity, pumping, and soil tests. The results indicated that the aquifer is shallow, unconfined in nature, and had a depth ranging from 18 to 30 m and hydraulic conductivity ranging from 62.6 to 406 m/day. A multiple regression model developed to assess the groundwater recharge in the adjoining well fields indicated that water table fluctuations may be 30% of reservoir level fluctuations. Because the river is also tidal in nature, a saltwater exclusion dam is proposed at the lower reaches of the river to prevent the entry of saltwater along the river during the summer period. © 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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    Evaluation of GPM IMERG satellite precipitation for rainfall–runoff modelling in Great Britain
    (Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2024) Gautam, J.; O, S.; Vinod, D.; Mahesha, A.
    Reliable hydrological simulations require accurate precipitation data. However, data uncertainties due to the indirect nature of satellite estimates can propagate through hydrological models and lead to simulation errors. This study assesses the accuracy of Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) products, comparing them directly with ground-based precipitation data and evaluating their performance in rainfall–runoff modelling across Great Britain. Three IMERG V06 products (IMERG-Early, IMERG-Late, and IMERG-Final) are examined. Utilizing the simple water balance model (SWBM), the analysis covers 250 basins, revealing that the SWBM performs well in over 50% of the basins. Runoff estimations show that European Observation (E-OBS) ground-based data yield the highest Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) score (0.91), followed by IMERG-Final (0.85), IMERG-Late (0.82), and IMERG-Early (0.73). The findings underscore IMERG’s utility in hydrological modelling for ungauged or poorly gauged basins. © 2024 IAHS.
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    A multivariate index-flood approach for flood frequency analysis of ungauged watersheds: a case study on state of Kerala in India
    (Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2025) HariKrishna, M.; Vinod, D.; Desai, S.; Mahesha, A.
    The multivariate index-flood method (MIF) advances flood risk evaluation at ungauged watersheds by utilizing information from gauged sites within a uniform region to forecast flood attributes where direct data is absent. It aims to enhance flood frequency analysis at ungauged watersheds by considering the interdependence between multiple flood variables using copulas and multivariate quantile curves. The proposed methodology involves screening data for anomalies, delineating homogeneous regions based on physiographic and hydrological descriptors, and selecting appropriate regional marginal distributions and copulas. Regional Flood Frequency Analysis and the index-flood method, MIF, can produce dependable multivariate quantile approximations, enhancing the precision of flood projections and risk evaluations at ungauged watersheds. Nine watersheds in the Indian state of Kerala situated along rivers flowing westward have been subjected to the suggested multivariate technique, which focuses on the bivariate case. This implementation involves recorded data series on flood volume and peak flow. The dataset includes daily maximum discharge data from India-WRIS, gridded precipitation and temperature data from IMD, and a 30 × 30 m DEM from USGS SRTM. The data record span 31–39 years. Subsequently, given a specific return period, a set of occurrences where volume and peak fall within a bivariate quantile curve is established at a designated watershed. The quantile curves derived from the regional methodology are juxtaposed with those obtained through the local method to assess the efficacy of the MIF technique. The model performed well for Arangali, Kalampur, Pattazhy, Pudur, and Mankara stations, as the quantile curves generated by the regional and local approaches matched well at these watersheds. In contrast, the regional and local quantile curves differ considerably at Perumannu, Ramamangalam, Kidangoor, and Erinjipuzha watersheds, indicating the effect of small sample size, higher sensitivity to local factors, modeling approach, and uncertainty involved. This investigation significantly enhances flood risk assessment in river areas using the MIF method to generate regional quantile curves, identify homogeneous regions, and compare regional and local quantile estimates, improving predictive accuracy at ungauged watersheds. The study confirmed data homogeneity across nine Kerala watersheds, with multivariate discordancy measures ?Di?<2.6, and a homogeneity test H value of -0.76. The BB8 copula best modeled the joint distribution of mean flood volume (V) and peak flow (Q), achieving a Kendall’s tau of 0.711 at Arangali. Regional quantile curves aligned well with standardized data, with the Gaussian copula (?)=0.4427, p<(1.75E-27) selected for multivariate regional analysis. © The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences 2025.