Faculty Publications

Now showing 1 - 3 of 3

Airborne Kite Tether Force Estimation and Experimental Validation Using Analytical and Machine Learning Models for Coastal Regions
(MDPI, 2022) Castelino, R.V.; Kashyap, Y.; Kosmopoulos, P.
Wind power can significantly contribute to the transition from fossil fuels to renewable energies. Airborne Wind Energy (AWE) technology is one of the approaches to tapping the power of high-altitude wind. The main purpose of a ground-based kite power system is to estimate the tether force for autonomous operations. The tether force of a particular kite depends on the wind velocity and the kite’s orientation to the wind vector in the figure-eight trajectory. In this paper, we present an experimental measurement of the pulling force of an Airush Lithium 12 (Formula presented.) kite with a constant tether length of 24 m in a coastal region. We obtain the position and orientation data of the kite from the sensors mounted on the kite. The flight dynamics of the kite are studied using multiple field tests under steady and turbulent wind conditions. We propose a physical model (PM) using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep neural network algorithms to estimate the tether force in the experimental validation. The performance study using the root mean square error (RMSE) method shows that the LSTM model performs better, with overall error values of 126 N and 168 N under steady and turbulent wind conditions. © 2022 by the authors.
Enhancing Solar Energy Forecast Using Multi-Column Convolutional Neural Network and Multipoint Time Series Approach
(MDPI, 2023) Kumar, A.; Kashyap, Y.; Kosmopoulos, P.
The rapid expansion of solar industries presents unknown technological challenges. A dedicated and suitable energy forecast is an effective solution for the daily dispatching and production of the electricity grid. The traditional forecast technique uses weather and plant parameters as the model information. Nevertheless, these are insufficient to consider problematic weather variability and the various plant characteristics in the actual field. Considering the above facts and inspired by the excellent implementation of the multi-column convolutional neural network (MCNN) in image processing, we developed a novel approach for forecasting solar energy by transforming multipoint time series (MT) into images for the MCNN to examine. We first processed the data to convert the time series solar energy into image matrices. We observed that the MCNN showed a preeminent response under a ground-based high-resolution spatial–temporal image matrix with a 0.2826% and 0.5826% RMSE for 15 min-ahead forecast under clear (CR) and cloudy (CD) conditions, respectively. Our process was performed on the MATLAB deep learning platform and tested on CR and CD solar energy conditions. The excellent execution of the suggested technique was compared with state-of-the-art deep neural network solar forecasting techniques. © 2022 by the authors.
Multi-Layer Cloud Motion Vector Forecasting for Solar Energy Applications
(Elsevier Ltd, 2024) Kosmopoulos, P.; Dhake, H.; Melita, N.; Tagarakis, K.; Georgakis, A.; Stefas, A.; Vaggelis, O.; Korre, V.; Kashyap, Y.
Real-time forecasting of solar radiation posses several benefits and has huge potential for industrial applications. However, the intermittent nature of solar radiation makes it difficult to forecast accurately. Cloud cover is one of the major influencing factors of solar radiation. Thus, forecasting cloud motion effectively can help to improve the accuracy of short-term solar radiation forecasts. In this study, a novel Multi-Layer Cloud Motion Vector (referred as 3D-CMV) forecasting technique was introduced, which combined with the fast radiative transfer model (FRTM) produces forecasts up to 3 h ahead at 15 min intervals over 5km × 5km grids across Europe and North Africa. The cloud microphysics obtained from the Support to Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting (SAFNWC) of the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) was used as input to the forecasting system. The results obtained improvements in forecasts as compared to the conventional cloud motion vector techniques, across all seasons and sky conditions. Comparisons against ground-based measurements from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) revealed an overall maximum percentage difference of less than 12%, bias under -20 Wm−2 and a root mean square error (RMSE) under 80 Wm−2. Performance evaluations of Multi-Layer Cloud Motion Vector has been performed against several state-of-the-art techniques and presented in this study. Short-term solar energy forecasting has an established market and rising demand. Accurate forecasts from Multi-Layer CMV hence pose a high potential for real world applications. © 2023 The Authors

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