Faculty Publications
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Publications by NITK Faculty
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Item A sensitivity matrix-based temperature-augmented probabilistic load flow study(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2017) Prusty, B.R.; Jena, D.This paper proposes a hybridmethod for probabilistic load flow (PLF) study to analyze the influence of uncertain photovoltaic generations and load demands on transmission system performance. Besides, the paper focuses on accurate approximation of multimodal distributions of result variables in a temperatureaugmented PLF model without using any series expansion methods. The effect of uncertain ambient temperature on result variables is discussed. Multiple correlation cases between the input bus powers are considered. The performance of the proposed method is investigated on modified New England 39-bus power system. The results are compared with four well-established analyticalmethods and Monte Carlo simulation. The effect of multiple input correlations on probability distributions of result variables is analyzed. © 2017 IEEE.Item Cumulant-based correlated probabilistic load flow considering photovoltaic generation and electric vehicle charging demand(Higher Education Press Limited Company, 2017) Bhat, N.G.; Prusty, B.R.; Jena, D.This paper applies a cumulant-based analytical method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) assessment in transmission and distribution systems. The uncertainties pertaining to photovoltaic generations and aggregate bus load powers are probabilistically modeled in the case of transmission systems. In the case of distribution systems, the uncertainties pertaining to plug-in hybrid electric vehicle and battery electric vehicle charging demands in residential community as well as charging stations are probabilistically modeled. The probability distributions of the result variables (bus voltages and branch power flows) pertaining to these inputs are accurately established. The multiple input correlation cases are incorporated. Simultaneously, the performance of the proposed method is demonstrated on a modified Ward-Hale 6-bus system and an IEEE 14-bus transmission system as well as on a modified IEEE 69-bus radial and an IEEE 33-bus mesh distribution system. The results of the proposed method are compared with that of Monte-Carlo simulation. © 2017, Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.Item A spatiotemporal probabilistic model-based temperature-augmented probabilistic load flow considering PV generations(John Wiley and Sons Ltd vgorayska@wiley.com Southern Gate Chichester, West Sussex PO19 8SQ, 2019) Prusty, B.R.; Jena, D.The probabilistic steady-state forecasting of a PV-integrated power system requires a suitable forecasting model capable of accurately characterizing the uncertainties and correlations among multivariate inputs. The critical and foremost difficulties in the development of such a model include the accurate representation of the characterizing features such as complex nonstationary pattern, non-Gaussianity, and spatial and temporal correlations. This paper aims at developing an improved high-dimensional multivariate spatiotemporal model through enhanced preprocessing, transformation techniques, principal component analysis, and a suitable time series model that is capable of accurately modeling the trend in the variance of uncertain inputs. The proposed model is applied to the probabilistic load flow carried out on the modified Indian utility 62-bus transmission system using temperature-augmented system model for an operational planning study. A detailed discussion of various results has indicated the effectiveness of the proposed model in capturing the aforesaid characterizing features of uncertain inputs. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.