Faculty Publications
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Publications by NITK Faculty
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Item Connection between Meteorological and Groundwater Drought with Copula-Based Bivariate Frequency Analysis(American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), 2021) Pathak, A.A.; Dodamani, B.M.Groundwater is a major resource of freshwater that provides additional resilience to agricultural drought during rainfall deficit and also helps in understanding the nature of the hydrological drought risk of an area. This study investigated the response of groundwater drought to meteorological drought and local aquifer properties by considering monthly groundwater levels of a tropical river basin in India. Further, bivariate frequency analysis was carried out for groundwater drought to develop severity-duration-frequency curves by considering the copula function. Long-term monthly groundwater levels were procured, and cluster analysis was performed on groundwater observations to classify the wells. Standardized Groundwater level Index (SGI) was used to evaluate groundwater drought for each cluster, and the same was compared with the meteorological drought of different association periods. The cluster analysis conveyed that wells can be grouped into three clusters optimally. Based on the comparison of groundwater drought with meteorological drought, it was inferred that SGI is well harmonized with the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in humid and semiarid regions, respectively. Analysis of hydraulic diffusivity with the autocorrelation structure of SGI emphasizes the crucial role of aquifer characteristics in local groundwater droughts. The results of joint and conditional return periods obtained from bivariate frequency analysis conveyed that high severity and high-duration droughts were more frequent in the well of Clusters 1 as well as Cluster 3 and comparatively less for the well of Cluster 2. The outcome of the study will be helpful to design proactive drought mitigation and preparedness strategies by considering conjunctive use of surface and groundwater. It also provides a framework to evaluate groundwater drought risk in other parts of the world. © 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.Item Nonlinear analysis of groundwater levels: investigating trends and the impact of El Niño on groundwater drought in a southern region of India(Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2025) Poojitha, K.; Dodamani, B.M.The expansion of groundwater irrigation and the cultivation of water-intensive sugarcane, combined with low rainfall, have exacerbated groundwater depletion and intensified droughts in the semi-arid Upper Krishna basin, India. This study employs an iterative singular spectrum analysis (iterative SSA) approach to impute missing groundwater level data from 25 monitoring wells. Cross-validation results show that iterative SSA effectively preserves the overall data structure when missing data was random, achieving good performance metrics with NSE > 0.79, R2 > 0.8 and RMSE < 0.88 under optimal parameters (L = 12 and k = 5). The reconstructed groundwater levels were then used to identify nonlinear trends with a 180-month smoothing SSA window and to investigate the impact of strong El Niño events on groundwater drought through cross-wavelet transform (XWT) and wavelet coherence (WTC) analyses between 1983 and 2017. The nonlinear trends revealed short-term deviations in groundwater levels during 1991–2000, 2002–2003, and 2015–2017. These deviations were corroborated by significant cross-wavelet power and high wavelet coherence between the Niño 3.4 SST Index and groundwater drought, particularly under low rainfall conditions, indicating stress on the region’s groundwater system. Although the study effectively captures the nonlinear nature of groundwater levels and the influence of climate variability on drought, the complexity of the groundwater system in the region persists due to physical water scarcity and high groundwater extraction for irrigation. This study highlights the importance of imputing missing data and applying nonlinear trend and wavelet analyses to detect short-term deviations caused by severe droughts, driven by strong El Niño events and high irrigation demands. © The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences 2025.
