Faculty Publications

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    A comparative study on RBF and NARX based methods for forecasting of groundwater level
    (2011) Dandagala, D.; Deka, P.C.
    Evaluation and forecasting of groundwater levels through time series model (s) helps for the sustainable development of groundwater resources. The focus of the present study is on the application of Radial Basis Function (RBF) and Non Linear auto-regressive with exogenous variable (NARX) data driven models to forecast groundwater level for multiple input scenario's and also multiple lead time. Weekly time series groundwater level data has been used as input and the models are developed to forecast one, two, three, four, five and sixth week ahead. Root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (Cc) are used for evaluating the accuracy of the models. Based on the comparison of results, it was found that the RBF models are superior to the NARX models in forecasting groundwater level considering RMSE and Cc. The obtained result indicates that the RBF has high performance and consistent upto fourth week lead time and decaying performance for NARX models. Hence, RBF and NARX have the potential in forecasting groundwater level efficiently for multi step lead time. © 2011 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY. All rights reserved.
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    Comparison of Oceansat-2 scatterometer- to buoy-recorded winds and spatial distribution over the Arabian Sea during the monsoon period
    (Taylor and Francis Ltd. michael.wagreich@univie.ac.at, 2015) Gadad, S.; Deka, P.C.
    For this wind resource assessment (WRA) study, wind speed and direction are the fundamental inputs. Also, these studies are data driven and require large historical wind speed data sets available on the site. This work explores the application of space-based scatterometer winds for assimilation into WRA studies towards the development of offshore wind energy. This article focuses on estimating the performance of Oceansat-2 scatterometer (OSCAT)-derived wind vector using in situ data from buoys at different locations in the Arabian Sea. A comparative study between three methods for estimating the equivalent neutral winds (ENW) for buoys is carried out. OSCAT winds were closest to ENW estimated by the Liu–Katsaros–Businger (LKB) method. The spatial and temporal windows for comparison were 0.5° and ±60 minutes, respectively. The monsoon months (June–September) of 2011 were selected for study. The root mean square deviation for wind speed is less than 2.5 m s?1 and wind direction is less than 20°, and a small positive bias is observed in the OSCAT wind values. From the analysis, the OSCAT wind values are consistent with in situ-observed values. Furthermore, wind atlas maps were developed with OSCAT winds, representing the spatial distribution of winds at a height of 10 m over the Arabian Sea. © 2015 Taylor & Francis.