Faculty Publications
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Publications by NITK Faculty
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Item A comparative study on RBF and NARX based methods for forecasting of groundwater level(2011) Dandagala, D.; Deka, P.C.Evaluation and forecasting of groundwater levels through time series model (s) helps for the sustainable development of groundwater resources. The focus of the present study is on the application of Radial Basis Function (RBF) and Non Linear auto-regressive with exogenous variable (NARX) data driven models to forecast groundwater level for multiple input scenario's and also multiple lead time. Weekly time series groundwater level data has been used as input and the models are developed to forecast one, two, three, four, five and sixth week ahead. Root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (Cc) are used for evaluating the accuracy of the models. Based on the comparison of results, it was found that the RBF models are superior to the NARX models in forecasting groundwater level considering RMSE and Cc. The obtained result indicates that the RBF has high performance and consistent upto fourth week lead time and decaying performance for NARX models. Hence, RBF and NARX have the potential in forecasting groundwater level efficiently for multi step lead time. © 2011 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY. All rights reserved.Item Hybrid wavelet neural network model for improving forecasting accuracy of time series significant wave height(2011) Prahlada, R.; Deka, P.C.Forecasting of a time series ocean wave data for various lead times has been attempted using hybrid wavelet-Artificial neural networks (WLNN) approach in this study. To improve the model performance a wavelet transformation is attached prior to a predictor (ANN) and then analysis has been carried out. Here the wavelet transformation is used to decompose the original significant wave height (Hs) data into its sub signals in the form of approximation coefficients and detail coefficients. Further, these coefficients were fed to ANN as inputs and targets and the results obtained from the hybrid model are then reconstructed to obtain the predicted significant wave heights. The predicted results from the proposed model were compared with the single ANN results. From the results, it is concluded that the proposed model is working efficiently for predicting time series data, and also the error observed at the higher lead time was very less as compared to the single ANN. The effect of decomposition level is also analysed in thisstudy and their influence was observed significantly in the higher lead time forecasting. © 2011 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.Item Discrete wavelet neural network approach in significant wave height forecasting for multistep lead time(2012) Deka, P.C.; Prahlada, R.Recently Artificial Neural network (ANN) was extensively used as non-linear inter-extrapolator for ocean wave forecasting as well as other application in ocean engineering. In this current study, the Wavelet transform was hybridised with ANN naming Wavelet Neural Network (WLNN) for significant wave height forecasting near Mangalore, west coast of India, upto 48 h lead time. The main time series of significant wave height data were decomposed to multiresolution time series using discrete wavelet transformations. Then, the multiresolution time series data were used as input of the ANN to forecast the significant wave height at different multistep lead time. It was shown how the proposed model, WLNN, that makes use of multiresolution time series as input, allows for more accurate and consistent predictions with respect to classical ANN models. The proposed wavelet model (WLNN) results revealed that it was better forecasted and consistent than single ANN model because of using multiresolution time series data as inputs. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Item Discrete wavelet-Ann approach in time series flow forecasting-a case study of Brahmaputra river(2012) Deka, P.C.; Haque, L.; Banhatti, A.G.This paper deals with the prediction of hydrologic behavior of the runoff for the one of the largest discharge carrier International River, Brahmaputra, located in Assam (India) at the Pandu station, by using daily time unit. The flow regime dominated by high data non-stationary and seasonal irregularity due to Himalayan climate fallout. The influence of data preprocessing through wavelet transforms has been investigated. For this, the main time series of flow data were decomposed to multi resolution time series using discrete wavelet transformations. Then these decomposed data were used as input to Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for multiple lead time flow forecasting. Various types of wavelets were used to evaluate the optimal performance of models developed. The forecasting accuracy of the models has been tested for multiple lead time upto 4 days using different decomposition levels. The performance of the proposed hybrid model has been evaluated based on the performance indices such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of efficiency (CE) and mean relative error (MRE).The results shows the better forecasting accuracy by the proposed combined hybrid model over the single ANN model in hydrological time series forecasting. © 2012 CAFET-INNOVA TECHNICAL SOCIETY.Item Artificial intelligence approaches for spatial modeling of streambed hydraulic conductivity(Springer International Publishing, 2019) Naganna, S.R.; Deka, P.C.Saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ks) describes the water movement through saturated porous media. The hydraulic conductivity of streambed varies spatially owing to the variations in sediment distribution profiles all along the course of the stream. The artificial intelligence (AI) based spatial modeling schemes were instituted and tested to predict the spatial patterns of streambed hydraulic conductivity. The geographical coordinates (i.e., latitude and longitude) of the sampled locations from where the in situ hydraulic conductivity measurements were determined were used as model inputs to predict streambed Ks over spatial scale using artificial neural network (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and support vector machine (SVM) paradigms. The statistical measures computed by using the actual versus predicted streambed Ks values of individual models were comparatively evaluated. The AI-based spatial models provided superior spatial Ks prediction efficiencies with respect to both the strategies/schemes considered. The model efficiencies of spatial modeling scheme 1 (i.e., Strategy 1) were better compared to Strategy 2 due to the incorporation of more number of sampling points for model training. For instance, the SVM model with NSE = 0.941 (Strategy 1) and NSE = 0.895 (Strategy 2) were the best among all the models for 2016 data. Based on the scatter plots and Taylor diagrams plotted, the SVM model predictions were found to be much efficient even though, the ANFIS predictions were less biased. Although ANN and ANFIS models provided a satisfactory level of predictions, the SVM model provided virtuous streambed Ks patterns owing to its inherent capability to adapt to input data that are non-monotone and nonlinearly separable. The tuning of SVM parameters via 3D grid search was responsible for higher efficiencies of SVM models. © 2019, Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences & Polish Academy of Sciences.